Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002344 0.002478 0.002620 0.002784 0.002968 0.003170 0.003410
2025-04-13 0.002119 0.002299 0.002501 0.002746 0.003041 0.003390 0.003843
2025-04-20 0.001900 0.002094 0.002317 0.002599 0.002953 0.003395 0.004008
2025-04-27 0.001802 0.002014 0.002267 0.002596 0.003029 0.003599 0.004454
2025-05-04 0.001754 0.001987 0.002272 0.002658 0.003187 0.003929 0.005142
2025-05-11 0.001687 0.001930 0.002234 0.002655 0.003255 0.004138 0.005695
2025-05-18 0.001660 0.001920 0.002252 0.002726 0.003431 0.004534 0.006687
2025-05-25 0.001603 0.001867 0.002210 0.002709 0.003472 0.004719 0.007352
2025-06-01 0.001542 0.001806 0.002150 0.002661 0.003459 0.004809 0.007851
2025-06-08 0.001522 0.001796 0.002161 0.002715 0.003611 0.005217 0.009291
2025-06-15 0.001497 0.001778 0.002159 0.002748 0.003732 0.005595 0.010937
2025-06-22 0.001454 0.001734 0.002116 0.002714 0.003735 0.005733 0.011971
2025-06-29 0.001398 0.001672 0.002048 0.002642 0.003669 0.005732 0.012613
2025-07-06 0.001358 0.001631 0.002007 0.002611 0.003676 0.005898 0.014140
2025-07-13 0.001291 0.001550 0.001907 0.002478 0.003484 0.005574 0.013237
2025-07-20 0.001266 0.001526 0.001888 0.002476 0.003536 0.005836 0.015496
2025-07-27 0.001258 0.001526 0.001905 0.002532 0.003704 0.006437 0.021295
2025-08-03 0.001235 0.001504 0.001887 0.002530 0.003758 0.006758 0.026799
2025-08-10 0.001230 0.001507 0.001908 0.002595 0.003958 0.007580 0.047487
2025-08-17 0.001207 0.001482 0.001884 0.002579 0.003984 0.007878 0.069720
2025-08-24 0.001178 0.001449 0.001846 0.002536 0.003944 0.007945 0.091641
2025-08-31 0.001171 0.001448 0.001858 0.002584 0.004118 0.008858 5.731401
2025-09-07 0.001161 0.001442 0.001861 0.002615 0.004254 0.009735 NaN